نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری، گروه روابط بین‌الملل، واحد زنجان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، زنجان، ایران.
2 استادیار، گروه علوم سیاسی، واحد زنجان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی زنجان، ایران
3 استادیار، روابط بین‌الملل، واحد زنجان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، زنجان، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
While identifying the causes of the COVID-19 disease and investigating the roots of the economic crisis from 1929 to 1932, this research attempts to forecast the economic recession resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic according to the 1929 economic recession model. The research methodology is descriptive-analytical, and it is based on the hypothesis that the economic recession caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, following the pattern of the 1929 economic recession, leads to the disruption of public financial balance, a decrease in trade volume, inflation, unemployment, and a reduction in economic growth. The results indicate that with the spread of the coronavirus, economic activity worldwide was severely disrupted, and production decreased. The global economic activities, such as global public financial balance, global unemployment rate, global inflation rate, global trade volume, and global growth rate, were adversely affected by the spread of the coronavirus. The unemployment rate increased globally in 2020 following the coronavirus pandemic. In 2019, global economic growth slowed due to a decline in investment and global trade. With increased uncertainty in trade, coupled with isolationist measures, a significant contraction in international trade occurred, and it is expected that global import volume will decrease by approximately 10% in 2020. Compared to the Great Recession of 1929 and the global crisis of 2008, the coronavirus crisis has created a warning signal in the global economy. It has been defined as a major crisis that the world has not experienced until today. Governments have been forced to inject immediate liquidity into the market to reduce bankruptcies, prevent unemployment, prevent income loss, and prevent other economic disruptions.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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